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Newspoll 2007: Round 5
Tuesday, 21st August, 2007
Winner - Bruce Campbell-Fraser Mount Hawthorn WA
Waiting for photo...
1st Runner Up - Mathew Stephenson Watson ACT
2nd Runner Up - Ryan Perry Joondanna WA
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Newspoll 2007: Round 5
Tuesday, 7th August, 2007
Winner - Ryan Perry Joondanna WA
Waiting for photo...
1st Runner Up - Heather Witham Canberra ACT
2nd Runner Up - Stephen Luntz Brunswick VIC
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Newspoll 2007: Round 4
Tuesday, 24th July, 2007
Winner - Mathew Stephenson Watson ACT
Waiting for photo...
1st Runner Up - Monty Mandelburgh Leederville WA
2nd Runner Up - Stephen Luntz Brunswick VIC
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Newspoll 2007: Round 3
Tuesday, 10th July, 2007
Winner - Euan Robertson Glebe NSW
Waiting for photo...
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Newspoll 2007: Round 2
Tuesday, 19th June, 2007
Winner - Euan Robertson Glebe NSW
Waiting for photo...
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Newspoll 2007: Round 1
Tuesday, 29th May, 2007
Winner - Monty Mandelburgh Leederville WA
Monty's Modesty prevents image publication.
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NSW State Election
Saturday, 24th March, 2007
Winner - Stephen Luntz Brunswick VIC
Waiting for photo...
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Victorian State Election
Saturday, 25th November, 2006
Winner - Ashley Midalia Rose Bay NSW
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Queensland State Election
Saturday, 9th September, 2006
Winner - Cr Paul Tully Ipswitch QLD
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GLUG Election Indications (GEI)
Elections Archive
| Australia - Federal Election - November 2007 |
 |
Coalition |
34.0% |
Labor |
66.0% |
|
| Australia - The Seat of Bennelong - November 2007 |
 |
John Howard - Liberal |
61.5% |
Maxine McKew – ALP |
37.8% |
Any Other |
0.7% |
|
| Russia - Next President - 2nd March, 2008 |
 |
Sergei Ivanov |
36.4% |
Dmitry Medvedev |
28.5% |
Sergei Sobyanin |
16.4% |
Vladimir Yakunin |
16.4% |
Mikhail Khodorkovsky |
2.4% |
|
| Greece - Next Prime Minister - March 2008 |
 |
Costas Karamanlis |
73.7% |
George Papandreou |
21.8% |
Any Other |
4.6% |
|
| United Kingdom - Most Seats |
 |
Labour |
58.1% |
Conservatives |
40.9% |
Liberal Democrats |
1.0% |
|
| USA - Democrat Candidate |
 |
Hillary Clinton |
66.1% |
Barack Obama |
15.5% |
Al Gore |
8.7% |
John Edwards |
6.2% |
Bill Richardson |
1.7% |
Joseph Biden |
0.2% |
Mike Gravel |
0.2% |
Wesley Clark |
0.2% |
Evan Bayh |
0.2% |
Tom Vilsack |
0.2% |
Mark Warner |
0.2% |
Russ Feingold |
0.1% |
John Kerry |
0.1% |
Tom Daschle |
0.2% |
Rod Blagojevich |
0.1% |
Janet Napolitano |
0.1% |
Howard Dean |
0.1% |
|
| USA - Republican Candidate |
 |
Rudolph Giuliani |
37.0% |
Fred Thompson |
21.9% |
Mitt Romney |
21.9% |
John McCain |
5.5% |
Ron Paul |
3.7% |
Newt Gingrich |
2.8% |
Mike Huckabee |
2.8% |
Condoleezza Rice |
1.2% |
Chuck Hagel |
0.6% |
Sam Brownback |
0.4% |
Bill Frist |
0.2% |
Tommy Thompson |
0.1% |
George Allen |
0.1% |
John Thune |
0.1% |
George Pataki |
0.1% |
Jeb Bush |
0.1% |
Norm Coleman |
0.1% |
Tim Pawlenty |
0.1% |
Tom Ridge |
0.1% |
Rick Santorum |
0.1% |
Bill Owens |
0.1% |
|
| USA - Winning Party - November 2008 |
 |
Republicans |
37.6% |
Democrats |
62.4% |
|
| France - Presidential Election Sunday, May 6, 2007 |
 |
|
| Nicolas Sarkozy |
77.5% |
| Segolene Royal |
22.5% |
|
| NSW State Election Saturday, 24th March, 2007 |
 |
|
| Coalition |
23.1% |
| Labor |
76.9% |
|
| Czech Republic Next Prime Minister Friday, 20th October, 2006 |
 |
|
| Mirek Topolanek |
51.8% |
| Jiri Paroubek |
37.7% |
| Any Other |
10.4% |
|
| Sweden - Parliamentary Election Sunday, 17th September, 2006 |
 |
|
| Goran Persson |
38.1% |
| Fredrik Reinfeldt |
30.5% |
| Any Other |
20.3% |
|
| Queensland - State Election Saturday, 9th September, 2006 |
 |
|
| Labor |
91.1% |
| Coalition |
8.9% |
|
| Mexico - Presidential Election Sunday, 2nd July, 2006 |
 |
|
| Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador |
54.9% |
| Roberto Madrazo Pintado |
7.1% |
| Felipe Calderon Hinojosa |
37.9% |
| Anyone else |
0.1% |
|
| Italian Election Sunday, 9th April, 2006 |
 |
|
| Ramano Prodi |
78.8% |
| Silvio Berlusconi |
19.2% |
| Anyone else |
2.0% |
|
| Tasmanian Election Saturday, 18th March, 2006 |
 |
|
| Labor to win a majority of seats: |
50% |
| Labor not to win a majority of seats: |
50% |
|
| South Australian Election Saturday, 18th March, 2006 |
 |
|
| Labor to win 24 or more seats: |
92% |
| Labor to win less than 24 seats: |
8% |
|
| Canadian Election Saturday, 28th January, 2006 |
 |
|
| Conservatives |
81.1% |
| Liberals |
15.9% |
| New Democratic |
1.8% |
| Any Other |
1.2% |
|
| Finnish Election Sunday, 29th January, 2006 |
 |
|
| Tarja Halonen |
67.9% |
| Sauli Niinisto |
32.1% |
|
| New Zealand Election Saturday, 17th September, 2005 |
 |
|
|
| German Election Sunday, 18th September, 2005 |
 |
|
|
| Who Will Win Big Brother 2005? Tuesday, 30th August, 2005 |
 |
|
| Tim |
47.7% |
| Vesna or Melanie |
40.7% |
| Logans |
11.9% |
|
| Host City Olympic Games 2012 Saturday, 6th July, 2005 |
 |
|
| Paris |
68.7% |
| London |
23.5% |
| New York |
4.4% |
| Madrid |
1.6% |
| Moscow |
1.3% |
| Havana |
0.1% |
| Sao Paulo |
0.1% |
| Rio de Janeiro |
0.1% |
| Istanbul |
0.1% |
| Leipzig |
0.1% |
| Toronto |
0.1% |
|
| Northern Territory Election Saturday, 18th June, 2005 |
 |
|
| Labour |
86.0% |
| Country Liberal |
14.0% |
|
| French - European Union Referendum Saturday, 28th May, 2005 |
 |
|
|
| United Kingdom Election Thursday, 5th May, 2005 |
 |
|
| Labour |
96.4% |
| Conservatives |
3.3% |
| Liberal Democrats |
0.3% |
|
| Roman Catholic Church Papal Election Tuesday, 19th April, 2005 |
 |
|
| Cardinal Francis Arinze |
10.5% |
| Cardinal Ratzinger |
10.2% |
|
| Western Australian State Election Saturday, 26th February, 2005 |
 |
|
| Labour |
79.5% |
| Coalition |
20.5% |
|
| United States of America Tuesday, 2nd November, 2004 |
 |
|
| Republican |
56.6% |
| Democrats |
22.2% |
|
| Australian Federal Election Saturday, 9th October, 2004 |
 |
|
| Coalition |
77.8% |
| Labour |
22.2% |
|
 |
Correct prediction |
 |
Incorrect prediction |
General
SA 2006
Tas 2006
Fed 2004
Early Campaign Start and Very PresidentialWednesday, 14th February, 2007
Sleaze Disappoints AgainMonday, 5th February, 2007
Reading the Queensland Tea LeavesTeusday, 12th September, 2006
John Howard Will be Happy EnoughTeusday, 12th September, 2006
The Queensland Cliff HangerMonday, 11th September, 2006
Queensland Election PredictionThursday, 7th September, 2006
Telling Lies that May be TrueThursday, 7th September, 2006
Tired of Funding LosersThursday, 7th September, 2006
Win Four Cents For Your Qld Election DollarTuesday, 5th September, 2006
Limits to the Underdog EffectThursday, 31st August, 2006
Queensland Election: Predicted Result by SeatsThursday, 24th August, 2006
Labor Leads on the Queensland Election IndicatorThursday, 17th August, 2006
In Mexico a Close Election Predicted and so it ProvedFriday, 14th July, 2006
Still No Result in Czech RepublicFriday, 14th July, 2006
Prodi Sneaks In Despite the Underdog FactorThursday, 13th April, 2006
The Indicator Points to Prodi Monday, 10th April, 2006
All the Sitting Members Returned in TasmaniaWednesday, 29th March, 2006
Massive Rejection of Major Parties in SA Upper House PollTuesday, 21st March, 2006
Poll Trend Continues to Point to Labor in South AustraliaThursday, 16th March, 2006
Prediction for 2006 Tasmanian Election - Total Members by Party Sunday, 12th March, 2006
Romano Prodi Leads in Polls and BettingMonday, 13th March, 2006
Sealed With a KissMonday, 30th January, 2006
Canadian Result Goes According to GEISaturday, 28th January, 2006
Democrats Desperate Flag FlyingFriday, 27th January, 2006
Dignity for Disabled Party First SA Election WinnerSaturday, 21st January, 2005
Finland Down to a Race in TwoSaturday, 21st January, 2005
Will the Polls be Wrong Again?Saturday, 21st January, 2006
Labor Doing Better in AdelaideFriday, 20th January, 2006
Looking for a DifferenceFriday, 20th January, 2006
Second Voting Round for FinlandMonday, 16th January, 2006
Swing to Canadian ConservativesMonday, 16th January, 2006
A Corruption Allegation a Proven Vote WinnerThursday 12th January, 2006
Finnish President a Firm FavouriteThursday, 5th January, 2006
Finland's President Favoured to be ReturnedFriday, 9th December, 2005
Canadian Liberals Start in FrontThursday, 1st December, 2005
A Close Result Predicted and So it ProvedMonday, 7th November, 2005
The Indicator Scrapes InWednesday, 12th October, 2005
Still No Result in Germany and NZFriday, 7th October, 2005
Still No Result in Germany and NZFriday, 7th October, 2005
Polls Say Close the Glug Indicator Says NotThursday, 15th September, 2005
Close Contest Predicted in New ZealandThursday, 15th September, 2005
The One Thing Worse Than Watching is Betting!Tuesday, 30th August, 2005
A Choice in TwoMonday, 1st August, 2005
Beware of the Underdog Indeed!Tuesday, 12th July, 2005
Beware of the UnderdogTuesday, 5th July, 2005
Paris a Firm Games FavouriteFriday, 1st July, 2005
Tim the Phone Poll FavouriteFriday, 1st July, 2005
Minority Government Favoured to Win AgainFriday, 1st July, 2005
Labor Romps in AgainMonday, 20th June, 2005
Glug Indicator: Now for GermanyWednesday, 1st June, 2005
The Indicator v The Pollsters in FranceWednesday, 18th May, 2005
The Indicator Recovers - UK Labor in Easy WinFriday, 6th May, 2005
Pipped by Point Three of a PercentThursday, 21st April 2005
Papal Election Indicator: Nigerian Cardinal FavouriteTuesday, 19th April 2005
The Glug Election Indicator and the PapacyMonday, 4th April 2005
And Competition Policy Takes a KnockTuesday, 1st March 2005
The Labor Brand ThrivesMonday, 28th February 2005
Polls Say it is Closer but the Glug Indicator Moves the Other WayMonday, 28th February 2005
A Canal to Oblivion?Friday, 25th February 2005
Slight Move Towards Labor in WAWednesday, 2nd February, 2005
What Chance a Federal Labor Victory Next Time? How About 36%Wednesday, 19th January, 2005
And So it Came to Pass - Labor in a LandslideMonday, 20th March, 2006
All Over Bar the VotingSaturday, 18th March, 2006
Trying to Find Some ExcitementFriday, 17th March, 2006
Bringing Out an Old Favourite as the EncoreTuesday, 14th March, 2006
A Day Off for the RacesMonday, 13th March, 2006
Murdoch Papers Like Winners so Vote 1 LaborSunday, 12th March, 2006
Hi Tech Law and OrderFriday, 10th March, 2006
If You Do the Crime, Choose Your TimeWednesday, 8th March, 2006
A State of SpeedTuesday, 7th March, 2006
A Two Edged AdvertisementMonday, 6th March, 2006
A Reason to Vote LiberalSunday, 5th March, 2006
Would Two Nicks be Better than One?Saturday, 4th March, 2006
Talking for the PreferencesFriday, 3rd March, 2006
Memories of Sir TomThursday, 2nd March, 2006
Memories of Premier DonWednesday, 1st March, 2006
A Wiz at ArithmeticTuesday, 28 February, 2006
Bob Page Says it AllFriday, 24th February, 2006
Rann Gets ResultsTuesday, 21st February, 2006
The Poles Signal in the PollMonday, 20th February, 2006
The Pollster Says 8 Per CentFriday, 17th February, 2006
The Pollsters Have Labor Starting the Formal Campaign Well in FrontFriday, 17th February, 2006
Federal Nationals Flying in to Give Labor Government a HandThursday, 16th February, 2006
Laura is Running HardMonday, 13th February, 2006
We’re All in this TogetherThursday, 9th February, 2006
A Spin Doctor Gives a Hand?Wednesday, 8th Febrarury, 2006
An Early Start for a Liberal LeaderTuesday, 7th February, 2006
You've Just Got to Admire HimMonday, 6th February, 2006
Queen of the KidsSunday, 5th February, 2006
SA's Oil RefineryMonday, 30th January, 2006
An Independent With SupportMonday, 30th January, 2006
When in Trouble, Blame a ForeignerSaturday, 28th January, 2006
Government Feels the Heat AgainFriday, 27th January, 2006
Why, Oh, Why, Oh, Why OhMonday, 20th March, 2006
The Dough is Done?Friday, 17th March, 2006
Newspoll Figures Give Labor Good Chance of Tasmanian MajorityFriday, 17th March, 2006
Greens in Suits and Ties!Thursday, 16th March, 2006
Greens Talk of Timber JobsWednesday, 15th March, 2006
Making Housing a Law and Order IssueTuesday, 14th March, 2006
Pull the Other OneMonday, 13th March, 2006
Interpreting This Poll Too Hard for MeSunday, 12th March, 2006
Giving David a Hard TimeSaturday, 11th March, 2006
Dirty Tricks on the AgendaFriday, 10th March, 2006
No Health Minister a Signal that Health is the Big NegativeThursday, 10th March, 2006
Conflict of Interest Back on the AgendaWednesday, 8th March, 2006
An Unlikely Green EndorsementSunday, 5th March, 2006
Spared a DebateSaturday, 4th March, 2006
Get in While the Pork Barrel Is OutFriday, 3rd March, 2006
Tasmanian Election Set for 18 MarchFriday, 24th February, 2006
A Helpful Intervention?Tuesday, 21st February, 2006
A Testy PremierMonday, 20th February, 2006
Farewell to the Diary – Where to From Here?11th October, 2004
Look for Fundamental Change11th October, 2004
What to Watch For9th October, 2004
Memories of Jeff Kennett8th October, 2004
A Call from the PM7th October, 2004
John Howard Courts Family First6th October, 2004
The Polling Trap of the Third Party Vote5th October, 2004
Pauline Dances On5th October, 2004
Tough and Wily Meets Inexperience2nd October, 2004
No Longer the Underdog2nd October, 2004
Labor’s Fatal Mistake?2nd October, 2004
Russian Aid for Latham1 October, 2004
Voting for Peter Costello30th September, 2004
One for the Golden Oldies29th September, 2004
An Insight in to the Minds of Voters26th September, 2004
My Billions are Different to Your Billions26th September, 2004
One Gravy Train is Coming to an End26th September, 2004
Delaying the Announcements25th September, 2004
The Trouble with Trees24th September, 2004
Further Details of the Party Research23rd September, 2004
Opinion Polls and the Margin of Error22nd September, 2004
Sending Tony Windsor Abroad21st September, 2004
Sensitivity Over Education20th September, 2004
When $600 a Year is Not $23.08 a Fortnight17th September, 2004
The Green Deal is Done17th September, 2004
A Little Bit of Passion17th September, 2004
Welcome Back the Dancing Lady16th September, 2004
Something for the Troops15th September, 2004
Pleased That the Worm doesn't Vote14th September, 2004
The Worm Turns13th September, 2004
An Ominous Straw Poll10th September, 2004
What Difference Does a Bomb Make?9th September, 2004
Do They Smoke It at the NT News?8th September, 2004
A Little Bit of Panic?7th September, 2004
Behind the One Way Glass6th September, 2004
No Doubt About Who’s Winning the Campaign5th September, 2004
They are all Tree Huggers Now4th September, 2004
George Bush Gives Some Assistance2nd September, 2004
Don’t Confuse Yourself - Avoid the Polls1 September, 2004
Perhaps An Interest Rate Rise Would Help Not Hinder1 September, 2004
Will the PM Really Help?1 September, 2004
A Tax by Any Other Name - Mark Should Listen to Bob31st August, 2004
The Twitch is Back29th August, 2004
A Night in the Lodge27th August, 2004
What the Research Shows?22nd August, 2004
Stay in Bed While Mud is Slung19th August, 2004
Lie Detectors Would Decimate the Ranks18th August, 2004
Does It Really Matter?20th July, 2004
An Underdog Reminder20th July, 2004
Getting The Rubbish Out Of The Way19th July, 2004
A Minor Reshuffle16th July, 2004
When Silence Is The Best Defence5th July, 2004
A Woman Spurned More Damaging Than The Biff4th July, 2004
Imagine Nine Labour Governments3rd July, 2004
So Who Is The Underdog?2nd July, 2004
The Underdog EffectJuly 1st, 2004
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