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Newspoll 2007: Round 5
Tuesday, 21st August, 2007
Winner - Bruce Campbell-Fraser Mount Hawthorn WA
Waiting for photo...
1st Runner Up - Mathew Stephenson Watson ACT
2nd Runner Up - Ryan Perry Joondanna WA
Newspoll 2007: Round 5
Tuesday, 7th August, 2007
Winner - Ryan Perry Joondanna WA
Waiting for photo...
1st Runner Up - Heather Witham Canberra ACT
2nd Runner Up - Stephen Luntz Brunswick VIC

Newspoll 2007: Round 4
Tuesday, 24th July, 2007
Winner - Mathew Stephenson Watson ACT
Waiting for photo...
1st Runner Up - Monty Mandelburgh Leederville WA
2nd Runner Up - Stephen Luntz Brunswick VIC

Newspoll 2007: Round 3
Tuesday, 10th July, 2007
Winner - Euan Robertson Glebe NSW
Waiting for photo...

Newspoll 2007: Round 2
Tuesday, 19th June, 2007
Winner - Euan Robertson Glebe NSW
Waiting for photo...

Newspoll 2007: Round 1
Tuesday, 29th May, 2007
Winner - Monty Mandelburgh Leederville WA Monty's Modesty prevents image publication.

NSW State Election
Saturday, 24th March, 2007
Winner - Stephen Luntz Brunswick VIC
Waiting for photo...

Victorian State Election
Saturday, 25th November, 2006
Winner - Ashley Midalia Rose Bay NSW

Queensland State Election
Saturday, 9th September, 2006
Winner - Cr Paul Tully Ipswitch QLD
GLUG Election Indications (GEI) Elections Archive
 CURRENT GLUG ELECTION INDICATIONS (GEI)
 Australia - Federal Election - November 2007

Coalition

34.0%

Labor

66.0%

 Australia - The Seat of Bennelong - November 2007

John Howard - Liberal

61.5%

Maxine McKew – ALP

37.8%

Any Other

0.7%

 Russia - Next President - 2nd March, 2008

Sergei Ivanov

36.4%

Dmitry Medvedev

28.5%

Sergei Sobyanin

16.4%

Vladimir Yakunin

16.4%

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

2.4%

 Greece - Next Prime Minister - March 2008

Costas Karamanlis

73.7%

George Papandreou

21.8%

Any Other

4.6%

 United Kingdom - Most Seats

Labour

58.1%

Conservatives

40.9%

Liberal Democrats

1.0%

 USA - Democrat Candidate

Hillary Clinton

66.1%

Barack Obama

15.5%

Al Gore

8.7%

John Edwards

6.2%

Bill Richardson

1.7%

Joseph Biden

0.2%

Mike Gravel

0.2%

Wesley Clark

0.2%

Evan Bayh

0.2%

Tom Vilsack

0.2%

Mark Warner

0.2%

Russ Feingold

0.1%

John Kerry

0.1%

Tom Daschle

0.2%

Rod Blagojevich

0.1%

Janet Napolitano

0.1%

Howard Dean

0.1%

 USA - Republican Candidate

Rudolph Giuliani

37.0%

Fred Thompson

21.9%

Mitt Romney

21.9%

John McCain

5.5%

Ron Paul

3.7%

Newt Gingrich

2.8%

Mike Huckabee

2.8%

Condoleezza Rice

1.2%

Chuck Hagel

0.6%

Sam Brownback

0.4%

Bill Frist

0.2%

Tommy Thompson

0.1%

George Allen

0.1%

John Thune

0.1%

George Pataki

0.1%

Jeb Bush

0.1%

Norm Coleman

0.1%

Tim Pawlenty

0.1%

Tom Ridge

0.1%

Rick Santorum

0.1%

Bill Owens

0.1%

 USA - Winning Party - November 2008

Republicans

37.6%

Democrats

62.4%




 HISTORY OF THE GLUG ELECTION INDICATOR (GEI)
 France - Presidential Election Sunday, May 6, 2007
Nicolas Sarkozy 77.5%
Segolene Royal 22.5%
 NSW State Election Saturday, 24th March, 2007
Coalition 23.1%
Labor 76.9%
 Czech Republic Next Prime Minister Friday, 20th October, 2006
Mirek Topolanek 51.8%
Jiri Paroubek 37.7%
Any Other 10.4%
 Sweden - Parliamentary Election Sunday, 17th September, 2006
Goran Persson 38.1%
Fredrik Reinfeldt 30.5%
Any Other 20.3%
 Queensland - State Election Saturday, 9th September, 2006
Labor 91.1%
Coalition 8.9%
 Mexico - Presidential Election Sunday, 2nd July, 2006
Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador 54.9%
Roberto Madrazo Pintado 7.1%
Felipe Calderon Hinojosa 37.9%
Anyone else 0.1%
 Italian Election Sunday, 9th April, 2006
Ramano Prodi 78.8%
Silvio Berlusconi 19.2%
Anyone else 2.0%
 Tasmanian Election Saturday, 18th March, 2006
Labor to win a majority of seats: 50%
Labor not to win a majority of seats: 50%
 South Australian Election Saturday, 18th March, 2006
Labor to win 24 or more seats: 92%
Labor to win less than 24 seats: 8%
 Canadian Election Saturday, 28th January, 2006
Conservatives 81.1%
Liberals 15.9%
New Democratic 1.8%
Any Other 1.2%
 Finnish Election Sunday, 29th January, 2006
Tarja Halonen 67.9%
Sauli Niinisto 32.1%
 New Zealand Election Saturday, 17th September, 2005
Labor 53%
National 47%
 German Election Sunday, 18th September, 2005
CDU/CSU 93.6%
Other 0.2%
 Who Will Win Big Brother 2005? Tuesday, 30th August, 2005
Tim 47.7%
Vesna or Melanie 40.7%
Logans 11.9%
 Host City Olympic Games 2012 Saturday, 6th July, 2005
Paris 68.7%
London 23.5%
New York 4.4%
Madrid 1.6%
Moscow 1.3%
Havana 0.1%
Sao Paulo 0.1%
Rio de Janeiro 0.1%
Istanbul 0.1%
Leipzig 0.1%
Toronto 0.1%
 Northern Territory Election Saturday, 18th June, 2005
Labour 86.0%
Country Liberal 14.0%
 French - European Union Referendum Saturday, 28th May, 2005
Yes 7.0%
No 93.0%
 United Kingdom Election Thursday, 5th May, 2005
Labour 96.4%
Conservatives 3.3%
Liberal Democrats 0.3%
 Roman Catholic Church Papal Election Tuesday, 19th April, 2005
Cardinal Francis Arinze 10.5%
Cardinal Ratzinger 10.2%
 Western Australian State Election Saturday, 26th February, 2005
Labour 79.5%
Coalition 20.5%
 United States of America Tuesday, 2nd November, 2004
Republican 56.6%
Democrats 22.2%
 Australian Federal Election Saturday, 9th October, 2004
Coalition 77.8%
Labour 22.2%

Correct prediction

Incorrect prediction

General SA 2006 Tas 2006 Fed 2004
Early Campaign Start and Very Presidential

Wednesday, 14th February, 2007

Sleaze Disappoints Again

Monday, 5th February, 2007

Reading the Queensland Tea Leaves

Teusday, 12th September, 2006

John Howard Will be Happy Enough

Teusday, 12th September, 2006

The Queensland Cliff Hanger

Monday, 11th September, 2006

Queensland Election Prediction

Thursday, 7th September, 2006

Telling Lies that May be True

Thursday, 7th September, 2006

Tired of Funding Losers

Thursday, 7th September, 2006

Win Four Cents For Your Qld Election Dollar

Tuesday, 5th September, 2006

Limits to the Underdog Effect

Thursday, 31st August, 2006

Queensland Election: Predicted Result by Seats

Thursday, 24th August, 2006

Labor Leads on the Queensland Election Indicator

Thursday, 17th August, 2006

In Mexico a Close Election Predicted and so it Proved

Friday, 14th July, 2006

Still No Result in Czech Republic

Friday, 14th July, 2006

Prodi Sneaks In Despite the Underdog Factor

Thursday, 13th April, 2006

The Indicator Points to Prodi

Monday, 10th April, 2006

All the Sitting Members Returned in Tasmania

Wednesday, 29th March, 2006

Massive Rejection of Major Parties in SA Upper House Poll

Tuesday, 21st March, 2006

Poll Trend Continues to Point to Labor in South Australia

Thursday, 16th March, 2006

Prediction for 2006 Tasmanian Election - Total Members by Party

Sunday, 12th March, 2006

Romano Prodi Leads in Polls and Betting

Monday, 13th March, 2006

Sealed With a Kiss

Monday, 30th January, 2006

Canadian Result Goes According to GEI

Saturday, 28th January, 2006

Democrats Desperate Flag Flying

Friday, 27th January, 2006

Dignity for Disabled Party First SA Election Winner

Saturday, 21st January, 2005

Finland Down to a Race in Two

Saturday, 21st January, 2005

Will the Polls be Wrong Again?

Saturday, 21st January, 2006

Labor Doing Better in Adelaide

Friday, 20th January, 2006

Looking for a Difference

Friday, 20th January, 2006

Second Voting Round for Finland

Monday, 16th January, 2006

Swing to Canadian Conservatives

Monday, 16th January, 2006

A Corruption Allegation a Proven Vote Winner

Thursday 12th January, 2006

Finnish President a Firm Favourite

Thursday, 5th January, 2006

Finland's President Favoured to be Returned

Friday, 9th December, 2005

Canadian Liberals Start in Front

Thursday, 1st December, 2005

A Close Result Predicted and So it Proved

Monday, 7th November, 2005

The Indicator Scrapes In

Wednesday, 12th October, 2005

Still No Result in Germany and NZ

Friday, 7th October, 2005

Still No Result in Germany and NZ

Friday, 7th October, 2005

Polls Say Close the Glug Indicator Says Not

Thursday, 15th September, 2005

Close Contest Predicted in New Zealand

Thursday, 15th September, 2005

The One Thing Worse Than Watching is Betting!

Tuesday, 30th August, 2005

A Choice in Two

Monday, 1st August, 2005

Beware of the Underdog Indeed!

Tuesday, 12th July, 2005

Beware of the Underdog

Tuesday, 5th July, 2005

Paris a Firm Games Favourite

Friday, 1st July, 2005

Tim the Phone Poll Favourite

Friday, 1st July, 2005

Minority Government Favoured to Win Again

Friday, 1st July, 2005

Labor Romps in Again

Monday, 20th June, 2005

Glug Indicator: Now for Germany

Wednesday, 1st June, 2005

The Indicator v The Pollsters in France

Wednesday, 18th May, 2005

The Indicator Recovers - UK Labor in Easy Win

Friday, 6th May, 2005

Pipped by Point Three of a Percent

Thursday, 21st April 2005

Papal Election Indicator: Nigerian Cardinal Favourite

Tuesday, 19th April 2005

The Glug Election Indicator and the Papacy

Monday, 4th April 2005

And Competition Policy Takes a Knock

Tuesday, 1st March 2005

The Labor Brand Thrives

Monday, 28th February 2005

Polls Say it is Closer but the Glug Indicator Moves the Other Way

Monday, 28th February 2005

A Canal to Oblivion?

Friday, 25th February 2005

Slight Move Towards Labor in WA

Wednesday, 2nd February, 2005

What Chance a Federal Labor Victory Next Time? How About 36%

Wednesday, 19th January, 2005

And So it Came to Pass - Labor in a Landslide

Monday, 20th March, 2006

All Over Bar the Voting

Saturday, 18th March, 2006

Trying to Find Some Excitement

Friday, 17th March, 2006

Bringing Out an Old Favourite as the Encore

Tuesday, 14th March, 2006

A Day Off for the Races

Monday, 13th March, 2006

Murdoch Papers Like Winners so Vote 1 Labor

Sunday, 12th March, 2006

Hi Tech Law and Order

Friday, 10th March, 2006

If You Do the Crime, Choose Your Time

Wednesday, 8th March, 2006

A State of Speed

Tuesday, 7th March, 2006

A Two Edged Advertisement

Monday, 6th March, 2006

A Reason to Vote Liberal

Sunday, 5th March, 2006

Would Two Nicks be Better than One?

Saturday, 4th March, 2006

Talking for the Preferences

Friday, 3rd March, 2006

Memories of Sir Tom

Thursday, 2nd March, 2006

Memories of Premier Don

Wednesday, 1st March, 2006

A Wiz at Arithmetic

Tuesday, 28 February, 2006

Bob Page Says it All

Friday, 24th February, 2006

Rann Gets Results

Tuesday, 21st February, 2006

The Poles Signal in the Poll

Monday, 20th February, 2006

The Pollster Says 8 Per Cent

Friday, 17th February, 2006

The Pollsters Have Labor Starting the Formal Campaign Well in Front

Friday, 17th February, 2006

Federal Nationals Flying in to Give Labor Government a Hand

Thursday, 16th February, 2006

Laura is Running Hard

Monday, 13th February, 2006

We’re All in this Together

Thursday, 9th February, 2006

A Spin Doctor Gives a Hand?

Wednesday, 8th Febrarury, 2006

An Early Start for a Liberal Leader

Tuesday, 7th February, 2006

You've Just Got to Admire Him

Monday, 6th February, 2006

Queen of the Kids

Sunday, 5th February, 2006

SA's Oil Refinery

Monday, 30th January, 2006

An Independent With Support

Monday, 30th January, 2006

When in Trouble, Blame a Foreigner

Saturday, 28th January, 2006

Government Feels the Heat Again

Friday, 27th January, 2006

Why, Oh, Why, Oh, Why Oh

Monday, 20th March, 2006

The Dough is Done?

Friday, 17th March, 2006

Newspoll Figures Give Labor Good Chance of Tasmanian Majority

Friday, 17th March, 2006

Greens in Suits and Ties!

Thursday, 16th March, 2006

Greens Talk of Timber Jobs

Wednesday, 15th March, 2006

Making Housing a Law and Order Issue

Tuesday, 14th March, 2006

Pull the Other One

Monday, 13th March, 2006

Interpreting This Poll Too Hard for Me

Sunday, 12th March, 2006

Giving David a Hard Time

Saturday, 11th March, 2006

Dirty Tricks on the Agenda

Friday, 10th March, 2006

No Health Minister a Signal that Health is the Big Negative

Thursday, 10th March, 2006

Conflict of Interest Back on the Agenda

Wednesday, 8th March, 2006

An Unlikely Green Endorsement

Sunday, 5th March, 2006

Spared a Debate

Saturday, 4th March, 2006

Get in While the Pork Barrel Is Out

Friday, 3rd March, 2006

Tasmanian Election Set for 18 March

Friday, 24th February, 2006

A Helpful Intervention?

Tuesday, 21st February, 2006

A Testy Premier

Monday, 20th February, 2006

Farewell to the Diary – Where to From Here?

11th October, 2004

Look for Fundamental Change

11th October, 2004

What to Watch For

9th October, 2004

Memories of Jeff Kennett

8th October, 2004

A Call from the PM

7th October, 2004

John Howard Courts Family First

6th October, 2004

The Polling Trap of the Third Party Vote

5th October, 2004

Pauline Dances On

5th October, 2004

Tough and Wily Meets Inexperience

2nd October, 2004

No Longer the Underdog

2nd October, 2004

Labor’s Fatal Mistake?

2nd October, 2004

Russian Aid for Latham

1 October, 2004

Voting for Peter Costello

30th September, 2004

One for the Golden Oldies

29th September, 2004

An Insight in to the Minds of Voters

26th September, 2004

My Billions are Different to Your Billions

26th September, 2004

One Gravy Train is Coming to an End

26th September, 2004

Delaying the Announcements

25th September, 2004

The Trouble with Trees

24th September, 2004

Further Details of the Party Research

23rd September, 2004

Opinion Polls and the Margin of Error

22nd September, 2004

Sending Tony Windsor Abroad

21st September, 2004

Sensitivity Over Education

20th September, 2004

When $600 a Year is Not $23.08 a Fortnight

17th September, 2004

The Green Deal is Done

17th September, 2004

A Little Bit of Passion

17th September, 2004

Welcome Back the Dancing Lady

16th September, 2004

Something for the Troops

15th September, 2004

Pleased That the Worm doesn't Vote

14th September, 2004

The Worm Turns

13th September, 2004

An Ominous Straw Poll

10th September, 2004

What Difference Does a Bomb Make?

9th September, 2004

Do They Smoke It at the NT News?

8th September, 2004

A Little Bit of Panic?

7th September, 2004

Behind the One Way Glass

6th September, 2004

No Doubt About Who’s Winning the Campaign

5th September, 2004

They are all Tree Huggers Now

4th September, 2004

George Bush Gives Some Assistance

2nd September, 2004

Don’t Confuse Yourself - Avoid the Polls

1 September, 2004

Perhaps An Interest Rate Rise Would Help Not Hinder

1 September, 2004

Will the PM Really Help?

1 September, 2004

A Tax by Any Other Name - Mark Should Listen to Bob

31st August, 2004

The Twitch is Back

29th August, 2004

A Night in the Lodge

27th August, 2004

What the Research Shows?

22nd August, 2004

Stay in Bed While Mud is Slung

19th August, 2004

Lie Detectors Would Decimate the Ranks

18th August, 2004

Does It Really Matter?

20th July, 2004

An Underdog Reminder

20th July, 2004

Getting The Rubbish Out Of The Way

19th July, 2004

A Minor Reshuffle

16th July, 2004

When Silence Is The Best Defence

5th July, 2004

A Woman Spurned More Damaging Than The Biff

4th July, 2004

Imagine Nine Labour Governments

3rd July, 2004

So Who Is The Underdog?

2nd July, 2004

The Underdog Effect

July 1st, 2004



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